试论清末十年金融市场之嬗变

清末十年间，由于清政府每年对外偿付巨额借赔款，内地银两源源不断地被运往上海地区，且最终多进入外商银行手中。巨额银两的财政性流动，一方面导致国内金融市场银两流通量日趋匮乏，金融基础愈发脆弱，对外依赖程度不断加深：另一方面更加增强外商银行操控金融市场的实力。由于外商银行蓄意操纵或临阵收缩，加上其他种种复杂的因素，清末金融市场发生了数次风潮，且一次比一次间隔时间短，影响范围广，破坏程度强；同时也正是因为外商银行拥资自重，厚此薄彼及牟利操纵等原因，又造成了上海金融市场具有一些异常复杂的变化特点。巨额银两流入外商银行与清末金融市场变迁之问形成了一种复杂的恶性关系。这种关系进一步发展、演变，导致清末民初时期金融市场始终动荡不安，进而对社会变局的走向产生了严重的影响。     

元代食盐产地研究

元代大约有173个海盐盐场．池盐产地5处，四川茶盐转运司所辖井盐盐场12个、官府所控制的大井95口（邛州、绍熙府等地私井尚未计算在内），云南有井盐产地4处，土盐产地有太原1处。与宋、金相比，腹里、江浙沿海地区海盐生产得到一定的发展，其他地区盐业生产都遭到严重破坏。     

宗族与风俗:明代中后期社会变迁的缩影——以浙江余姚江南徐氏为例

明嘉靖万历时浙江绍兴府余姚地区的社会风俗变化很大,并深刻影响到生活方式以及人们的观念。嘉靖时徐天泽将风俗的变化归结为人们的"物欲",在讲求"义"的伦理政治下,"物欲"表现出的"利"对于社会的冲击无疑是巨大的。人们不再安分守己,以满足欲望为追求。余姚江南徐氏在明代由于科举人才辈出,引人注目。地方志从批判的角度记载风俗奢靡,编纂者号召人们移风易俗,反映了地方官的意志以及地方绅士的主张。最值得注意的是,士大夫通过宗族建设来移风易俗,维护社会秩序,造成宗族乡约化,进而组织化。     

阐释学视角下的唐诗英译

阐释学是一种研究意义的理解和阐释的理论。文章将从现代阐释学中的前理解、视界融合和理解的历史性这三个方面来探讨它们在唐诗英译中的运用。     

'The Tip of the Ice Berg': Children's Complaints and Advocacy in Wales--An Insider View from Complaints Officers

This paper is based on findings of a Welsh Assembly Governmentfunded review of children’s independent advocacy servicesin Wales with reference to their involvement in complaints madeby children, or by their parents or carers on their behalf,about local authority social services. It draws, primarily,upon qualitative interviews with local authority children’scomplaints officers, whose task is to receive complaints orconcerns, field these to appropriate social services staff,maintain oversight of their progression and keep complainantsinformed of developments. The paper describes the challengesthat complaints officers perceive children encounter in movingcomplaints forward, especially in a context where independentadvocacy services are involved and where these services areviewed with some suspicion by social services staff. It suggeststhat complaints officers play a pivotal part in managing thesometimes contested and complex interface between service providerand child and may do so from a position of limited authorityand influence. The role of complaints officers in engaging withcomplainants and their advocates, and with those colleaguesimplicated in complaints, has rarely been the topic of research.This paper provides accounts from these key staff that helpilluminate the tensions and difficulties that can enter thechildren’s complaints process.     

Psychic distance, psychic distance paradox and behavioral economics: Modeling MNC entry behavior in foreign markets

Assuming that MNCs face a much more complex environment that local enterprizes, the paper begins by discussing what economist Beckerman called psychic distance. After a historical discussion of this concept, I also discuss what O’Gardy and Lane called psychic distance paradox. Then, I argue that these two concepts have a great deal of relevance beyond their original intent of international trade-they are also relevant to FDI and all other formas of international production and exchange. Next, I argue, as I have done in several previous papers, that behavioral economics has a great deal of relevance to FDI and international productive activity; I also argue that behavioral economics can be utilized to describe the concepts of psychic distance and psychic distance paradox. Then, I develop a behavioral economics-based model that can explain the concepts of psychic distance and psychic distance paradox, and their relevance to the modes of entry of MNCs in international markets. In doing so, I argue that FDI and MNC behavior in general need not be explained outside of economics, since, in contrast to neo-classical economics, behavioral economics is capable of capturing the complexities of global markets.     

Generalized partially linear varying-coefficient models

Generalized varying-coefficient models are useful extensions of generalized linear models. They arise naturally when investigating how regression coefficients change over different groups characterized by certain covariates such as age. In this paper, we extend these models to generalized partially linear varying-coefficient models, in which some coefficients are constants and the others are functions of certain covariates. Procedures for estimating the linear and non-parametric parts are developed and their associated statistical properties are studied. The methods proposed are illustrated using some simulations and real data analysis.     

Lower bounds on expectations of positive L-statistics from without-replacement models

We consider samples drawn without replacement from finite populations. We establish optimal lower non-negative and upper non-positive bounds on the expectations of linear combinations of order statistics centered about the population mean in units generated by the population central absolute moments of various orders. We also specify the general results for important examples of sample extremes, Gini mean differences and sample range. The paper completes the results of Papadatos and Rychlik [2004. Bounds on expectations of L-statistics from without replacement samples. J. Statist. Plann. Inference 124, 317–336], where sharp negative lower and positive upper bounds on the expectations of the combinations were presented for the without-replacement samples.     

隋唐时期河北地区赵郡李氏活动略论

隋唐时期科举制的实行，促使士族逐渐出现了官僚化和中央化的倾向。然而士族在官僚化和中央化的同时，也还存在着一个地方化的过程。对隋唐时期有关居于乡里的赵郡李氏的情况进行具体的分析和考察，可以发现隋唐时期士族逐渐失去了对地方的主导权，而这正是造成唐代河北地区与中央之间关系紧张的重要原因。     

儒家伦理道德思想对当代青年德育的启示

中国传统伦理道德思想，是中华民族在长期社会实践中逐渐凝聚起来的民族精神之所在。中国传统文化的主体是儒家文化，儒家文化的核心和本质是德育，其德育思想深刻而丰富，对于我们加强当代青年道德建设，为全面提高全民族素质，做好青年道德教育工作提供了可资借鉴的内容和理论基对。